The ideal transfer for Tottenham star to contemplate?

Bale-mania has reached epic proportions at times this season. Perhaps unlike the 1960’s Beatle mania, the Welsh wizard does not have a legion of female fans stalking his every move and fainting at will upon seeing him in the flesh, but similar to the Obama mania of 2008, there are now various t-shirts and paraphernalia available to budding Spurs fans or followers to the Wales national team should they wish to cover their body in tributary images of the Tottenham man.

It’s not simply his excellent record of 16 goals in 26 appearances that has created such a widespread attraction, but rather the aesthetic qualities in Bales locker that captures the imagination of football fans around the world. His physique and athleticism make him incredibly explosive, bursting into life from seemingly static positions to take on defenders and often gallop past his opponents with ease, and furthermore his technique and control has lead to Bale unleashing some unstoppable and seemingly impossible strikes that are destined to send ripples into the back of the net from the moment the ball leaves his boot.

But there’s no doubt that the White Hart Lane star’s due attention has been further heightened by the constant news reports and transfer speculation rumouring a summer move to La Liga. The Spanish league is currently home to the world’s two leading footballers that are undisputedly considered as being truly world class; Cristiano Ronaldo and Lionel Messi. The on-going debate of whether Bale is in the same category as Ronaldo and Messi has on the whole come to the conclusion that if he’s not already, the Wales international will be in the very near future.

Gareth Bale may be a very talented footballer, but there is something very English about his manner of play, based around the effectiveness of simplicity combined with his unparalleled athleticism, that seems adverse to the Barcelona mould. And thus, out of the two Spanish giants of European football, it appears that Real Madrid are on the whole the much more likely club to make an offer for the Tottenham winger at the end of the season.

Yet, would moving to the Bernabeu actually represent the best move for Bale? Is there not a danger that being himself swept up by Bale-mania, the Welshman could be rather blindly going with the flow, without considering all the options and possible outcomes?

Of course, signing for Real Madrid is an achievement in itself, and is the kind of personal accolade that the vast majority of footballers on the planet can only dream of; it would certainly take a brave man to turn them down without having an equally prestigious alternative club to turn them down for.

­­ Similarly, at Tottenham, although Bale’s rise in stock has coincided with the North London club reaching the next level in terms of domestic football, and looking set to finish inside of the top four, with the possibility of ending up in third place come the final day of the current Premier League season, actual chances of picking up silver wear will always be limited to the League Cup, the FA Cup and the Europa League.

Spurs may have come on leaps and bounds since the days of having Michael Brown in midfield and Paul Stalteri at right back, but they’re still a long way off getting their hands on the Premier League title for the first time, and even further from lifting the Champions League trophy – two feats that should be achievable for a player of Bale’s quality.

Comparisons have been made between Bale’s recent accentuation to continental recognition with the career of Cristiano Ronaldo. After perfecting his trade at Manchester United, the Portuguese winger left Old Trafford at the age of 24, and similarly, should Bale depart in the summer, he would be the same age. But there are still some stark differences to consider.

Firstly, Ronaldo left with three Premier League titles under his belt, in addition to an FA Cup and lifting the Champions League trophy. The Tottenham man may have played a bit-part role in the club’s successes in the League Cup back in 2008, but it is hardly equivalent to Ronaldo’s achievements by the time he had departed for Spain.

Secondly, unlike Bale, who’s always performed well for Spurs but is finally amid a real coming of age campaign, Ronaldo had been regularly scoring over 15 goals per season for three years prior to joining Real Madrid.

But there is no doubt that their physical styles are incredibly similar. Whilst Lionel Messi may be the more gifted in terms of natural footballing ability, Ronaldo has complimented his exceptional skill by becoming an impeccable physical specimen and the perfect athlete. It is well known that Bale idolises the Portguese star, and in many ways has based his game around Ronaldo’s. Furthermore, although I do believe losing the Welsh wonder would be a huge loss to the English game, the prospect of seeing Bale and Ronaldo operating on opposite flanks leaves me watering at the mouth.

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However, I still have my concerns. Unlike Ronaldo, the Tottenham man is a far more timid personality; he frequently returns home to visit his parents, and is rarely out-spoken. In fact, in his very few discussions with the press, I have only once witnessed him come out and speak in protest about his negative stigmatism of being a rather theatrical diver, despite often being condemned and criticised by the British media.

Furthermore, and most importantly, it appears football has not learned its lesson from the Fernando Torres saga. I have little doubt that the hefty £50million price tag, which Bale’s future fee is set to beat by up to an additional £20million, was the underlying factor in the Spaniard’s demise from being one of Europe’s top strikers to becoming one of the biggest transfer flops of all time.

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A £70million deal would be a huge cross to bear, and it’s not as if there’s an instant spot waiting for him in the starting line-up at the Bernabeu. The natural assumption would be that Ronaldo would be moved over to the right flank, yet it would be a bold move for the next Real Madrid boss to shaft Angel Di Maria as he’s been a consistent performer since moving to Spain, and this season has four goals and nine assists in 23 La Liga appearances.

Former team-mate of Bale, Luka Modric, has been suffering from such a problem this season, as he’s struggled for game time whilst Xabi Alonso, Sami Khedira and Mesut Ozil have been consistently impressive in the middle of the park.

Of course, the move may not go ahead, but I doubt Gareth Bale would turn down signing for the Spanish champions instead continue his tenure at White Hart Lane. Then again, staying put could severely benefit his career in the long run. I can understand the association between the Welshman and Cristiano Ronaldo in terms of the way they play, but seeing the latter’s career as a template for the former is a false comparison.

Ronaldo was a cocky, confident and outspoken player, who was a big fish in an big pond at Old Trafford. Meanwhile, Bale is a big fish in a comparatively smaller pond at Tottenham. I have no doubt that he has the potential to be world class, and in that same bracket as Messi and Ronaldo; I’m just unsure whether he’s ready to take the leap of faith to the next level, and if his hypothetical move to the Bernabeu goes wrong, it has the potential to scupper the rest of his career.

Van Aanholt keen for Chelsea chance

Patrick van Aanholt says he would love to be given a chance to play for Chelsea but will go out on loan once again if necessary.

The Netherlands Under-21 star joined the Blues back in 2009 but has made only two Premier League appearances for the west London outfit.

He has spent time on loan with five different clubs in the past four years, with spells at Coventry City, Newcastle United, Leicester City and Wigan Athletic before arriving at the GelreDome in January 2012.

The 22-year-old re-signed for Vitesse for the entire 2012-13 campaign last summer and has enjoyed an excellent season, with 35 appearances this term.

Ashley Cole and Ryan Bertrand are currently Chelsea’s top two left-back options and so the defender might have to bide his time for a while longer before showing the Stamford Bridge faithful what he can do, and he remains philosophical about his future.

“I move on with a good feeling,” he told NuSport. “I have had a good season and just have to wait and see. A new coach, new chances.

“I have to be there on July 1 and then we have to wait. It depends whether the new coach believes in my qualities.

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“If that doesn’t work out, I will go out on loan again.”

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Tim Krul suffers injury heartache

Newcastle goalkeeper Tom Krul won’t play again this season after being forced off early through injury in the Tyne-Wear derby.

The Dutchman’s involvement in Sunday’s clash with Sunderland was cut short in the 57th minute, when he suffered a dislocated shoulder while punching away an Adam Johnson free-kick.

Krul appeared to land awkwardly and had to be replaced by Rob Elliot, who conceded twice as the relegation threatened Black Cats secured a much-needed 3-0 victory over their bitter rivals.

His manager Alan Pardew believes the timing of the injury couldn’t have come at a worst time, and effectively ended their hopes of getting back into a game which Sunderland had led since Stephane Sessegnon’s 27th minute.

Adam Johnson and David Vaughan then took the St. James’ Park contest out of sight with further efforts in the last 20 minutes to hand Paolo Di Canio his first three-point haul since replacing Martin O’Neill as the Black Cats boss.

Pardew said: “Tim has dislocated and is definitely out for the season.

“The loss of Tim and the goal that was not given for offside were a couple of crucial moments. Losing Tim lost me a pair of legs and one sub which was difficult. Those two moments meant Sunderland could see out the win.

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“I don’t feel particularly great. It was a tough day really. They looked like a team that worked all week on us on the training ground and we looked like a team that had a really tough game on Thursday night.”

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Why Football is losing the English punditry war

The Premier League boasts a collection of some of the finest sportsmen on the planet, and yet seeks to subject its viewers to a standard of punditry that wouldn’t be out of place in a Primary School. In fact it is safe to say most 10 year olds have a better grasp of the English language and ability to form a cogent argument than the likes of Paul Merson and Mark Lawrenson. A move away from the continued treatment of fans as simple-minded morons is key to solving this problem

Whilst speaking to FATV in Istanbul, Gary Neville expressed his belief that pundits should gain coaching qualifications in order to improve the quality of TV analysis. In regards to the structure of the badges he said: “We have done a lot of video analysis this week on the course. It is becoming a critical point of football now. The fans want more, they demand more.”

The former Manchester United defender was initially greeted by harsh criticisms over his appointment to the Sky Sports Monday Night Football team. However, he has since emerged as a leading light in a field of relative mediocrity due to his ability to break down key moments and then give the viewer in depth analytic insight. This is in stark contrast to many of his colleagues who simply feel regurgitating the previous 90 minutes into a tidy minute long summary is satisfactory for the average viewer.

Neville picked up on this exact point when speaking to the association TV channel stating: “From a broadcasting point of view, they don’t just want telling that the ball has ended up in the back of the net, they want to know why it has ended up in the back of the net. They want to know who made the mistake, why they made the mistake, how they made the mistake and how to rectify the mistake.” Most worryingly of all, Neville appears to be in a minority who see the need to move away from the spoon-feeding approach to football punditry.

There is a worrying trend that the role of a pundit is simply to act as an alternative to having the subtitles running during a match. This is by no means a criticism of the way in which a company such as Sky run their broadcasts in general, but just particularly football. Fans of Golf are able to witness countless hours of coverage with past professionals expertly dissecting the strategy and swings of the competitors on show. By contrast, the average football fan who tunes in on a Saturday afternoon is subjected to a motley crew of ex pros who without fail leave fans with less of a clue after viewing than before. As Merson stumbles between non-sensical points and Phil Thomson continues to inundate your club with showers of needless unfounded criticisms the natural reaction is to flee to happier climes at the BBC. Here you encounter football luminaries that include Alan Hanson and Mark Lawrenson who frequent the studio of an evening to treat viewers to now infamous pieces of knowledge. During the recent Confederations Cup Final between Spain and Brazil, Lawrenson expertly highlighted the fact he knows less than the average viewer by exposing Lucas Moura as something of a relative unknown on the world stage, someone who is of course a crucial part of the plans afoot at Paris St-Germain. This follows a history of gaffes made by the BBC pundit including a high profile blunder when failing to discern between Arsenal’s Marouane Chamakh and Gervinho on A Question of Sport.

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The suggestion that pundits should take coaching badges is however a somewhat uneasy one to make. In an era where fans feel alienated by the franchise that football has become, a hierarchical approach to punditry is totally wrong. Neville’s, push for pundits to have coaching badges could just add heed to this worrying transition by giving a sense that opinion must be qualified to matter. In the end everyone’s opinion when expressed with a degree of argumentation to substantiate it is as valid as the next persons, something that is often totally absent from many current pundits repertoires.

Playing the game need not be a pre requisite for a world-class pundit, and in fact opinions independent of a playing career may offer interesting insights. Football needs to take a lesson from other sports that select their pundits based on ability first and foremost whilst making popularity and previous playing history a secondary consideration. The current problem is that broadcasters seem to have naively found comfort in selecting any old ex professional to fill the berth, when instead they should be searching through the plethora of talent out there to discover someone who won’t simply waste a seat but will offer the sort of insight that fans yearn for.

Vidic on what Moyes has brought to Manchester United

Q: What positive developments have you noticed now that David Moyes is manager?

A: We’re been working quite a lot on tactics with David Moyes and he’s been working a lot with players individually to improve their abilities. Training has been intense and hopefully all of these things we’ve been doing will help the players improve to be better and to play better through the season.

Q: Do you think Manchester United has a chance of winning the Premier League title again this season and which teams do you think you’ll need to watch out for?

A: Yes, we definitely believe we can win the title. I would say our main competitors this season are Chelsea and City.

Q: Last season you struggled with injuries; how is your condition so far this season?

A: I’m in good condition this season and I’m training well at the moment. I’ve already played a few games and I trained in the pre-season, I’m good right now.

Q: In your opinion, what makes an ideal team captain?

A: I think to be a good captain you first of all need to be a team player. Secondly, you have to lead by example to the young players by training hard and performing well.

Q: Who are the most promising young stars on the Manchester United squad and why?

A: We have two players in the academy, Adnan and Jesse, who really stepped up in the pre-season. They both played really well on the tour and I think these players could make the cut in the future if they continue developing and training hard.

Q: What are the most important features in a football boot for a defender?

A: The most important feature in a boot is that it is comfortable; if the boot fits well to the foot and is lightweight then it will be comfortable to play in.

Q: Do you remember your first pair of boots?

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A: Yes, I definitely remember my first pair of boots. It’s always a big moment when you get your first pair and start playing football, a great memory I will always have.

Q: Who was your favourite player as a child?

A: I didn’t have a particular favourite player as a child, but my favourite team was Red Star Belgrade.

Nemanja Vidic wears the PUMA PowerCat 1 FG boots available from ProDirectSoccer.com. Nemanja was speaking at the launch of PUMA Football Club, an online community allowing fans worldwide to get closer than ever before to their favourite stars. Head to www.PUMAFootballClub.com to conquer challenges and win trophies #PUMAFC

Ex-England boss says Tottenham ace is the key to glory

Ex-England Manager Terry Venables reckons Andros Townsend has the ability to make a real impact at the 2014 World Cup in Brazil, according to the Evening Standard.

Townsend burst onto the international scene earlier in the month, starring in both of England’s two crucial World Cup qualifiers against Montenegro and Poland.

The form of the 22-year-old has come as a surprise to many, considering he had previously been loaned out by Tottenham on nine different occasions.

But this season has seen the winger become an important first  team player under Andre Villas-Boas, and Venables reckons he can do the same for Roy Hodgson’s men.

“All those loan periods count for nothing,” Venables said.

“It didn’t matter whether he had been to one club or a hundred, the only thing he should be judged on is how he plays in any particular game.

“The fact is he has a lot of things going for him.

“Andros has fantastic awareness and his raw pace is always going to make it difficult for defenders.

“He has this ability to hug the touchline, go fast, but still have time to look up to see what he wants to hit in the middle.

“Even when he runs out of space, he has a repertoire of other crosses in his locker; cut-backs, back post, near post.

“It is still early for him but we are all excited about the future because of the performances he has put in.”

Townsend is the latest young player to emerge ahead of the World Cup, and Venables is excited about the likes of Jack Wilshere, Danny Welbeck and Daniel Sturridge competing alongside Townsend in Brazil.

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“At times people have said there are too many experienced players, at others too many young players,” he added.

“I look at that group and think it is one of the best.

“The experienced players need the legs of the younger one. The younger players need the help of the older ones.”

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Has he just cost Arsenal the title?

Arsene Wenger has always been somewhat of a transfer-sceptic. In the January window just gone, we were once again privy to the Arsenal manager’s annual condemnation of the mid-season transfer market, citing how it creates unnecessary tension amid the most taxing period of the Premier League season and often gives certain clubs an unfair advantage, using Chelsea’s sale of Juan Mata to Manchester United as a case in point.

Admittedly, Wenger has always been a manager that favours showing faith in his players over taking a gamble on the transfer market, and in the modern climate, where the Premier League spent over £650million on summer transfers alone and Real Madrid saw fit to splash out £86million on a single player in Gareth Bale, there’s certainly something loyally refreshing about that point of view.

But the current Premier League campaign is arguably the closest we’ve ever seen throughout the division, and it’s Arsenal’s first significant involvement in the English title race for the best part of a decade. So with just a single loan signing – Spartak Moscow’s Kim Kallstrom – to show for an entire month of mid-season transfer escapades, one can only ponder whether the Gunners gaffer’s lack of transfer ambition has ultimately cost the North Londoners their shot at the Premier League crown.

I’m sure I’m not the only one left rather bemused by Arsenal’s temporary acquisition of the Swedish international. Not only will Kallstrom be unavailable through a back injury until March at the earliest, but he’s not even been an automatic pick for Spartak Moscow of late. This is a player who the European elite looked at and deemed unworthy some time ago, so at the veteran age of 31, it’s surprising Wenger is now giving him a chance in the most coveted top flight in world football.

Even the Emirates boss has admitted Kallstrom is by no means an ideal signing. ” I would not have signed him if we had two or three more days to do something, but it was Friday night at five o’clock, so it was a case of you sign nobody or you do it under these conditions,” Wenger told reporters on February the 2nd.

But I have my qualms with that declaration too; admittedly, the January window never throws up ideal scenarios or the fruitful opportunities of its summer counter-part, but the Frenchman had a whole month to consider and weigh up his transfer options. Failing that critique, prior to the window opening on the turn of the year, Wenger had an entire half-season to plan, plot, scout and examine potential targets.

Most bizarrely, Kallstrom will strengthen the only department of the Arsenal first team that didn’t require immediate attention last month.

For example, the inadequacies of the North London outfit’s strikeforce is well-known. Olivier Giroud has been providing a vital service in the final third to find ten goals this season, leaving him as the club’s top scorer, and his six assists demonstrate how integral the 6 foot 4 striker has become to Arsenal’s game plan going forward.

But he’s been tremendously overworked as the only dependable front-man on the Emirates roster, starting in 24 of a possible 26 Premier League fixtures and only subbed off on seven occasions. Most tellingly in regards to his fitness however, Giroud has been benched just once before the 70 minute mark this season. Understudies Nicklas Bendtner and Yaya Sanogo are just not up to standard, and the option of playing Lukas Podolski up front is like using a square peg in a round hole.

Additionally, the loss of Theo Walcott through a six-month ACL injury lay-off could have a huge impact on Arsenal’s title plans this season. The 24 year-old had racked up five goals and four assists in nine Premier League starts.

Not only is he by far the Gunners’ most impactful substitute, but his roaring pace and penetration made the England international the perfect counterweight to Arsenal’s one-touch football, stretching the area of play and exposing gaps behind opposition defences. Barring the relatively unblooded Serge Gnabry, there is no like-minded attacking outlet in the Emirates squad.

And it’s not as if options to add to Arsenal’s striking depth of find a replacement to Theo Walcott weren’t out there this January, despite the Emirates manager often suggesting otherwise. Real Sociedad’s Carlos Vela particularly comes to mind; Arsenal still have a £4million buy-back clause on the ex-Gunner, who has bagged 35 goals and 24 assists in 91 La Liga appearances since switching to Anoeta in summer 2011.

Then there’s team-mate Antoine Griezmann, a speedy, tricky winger who has netted 14 times from the left-hand side this term. According to the tabloids, Wenger launched a £12.5million bid for the La Real star, but did not see fit to up the transfer ante and meet his £25million release clause.

Admittedly, that’s a lot of money for a 22 year-old with one campaigns’ worth of Champions League experience. But will this player be any cheaper in the summer? Unquestionably not after another stellar season, and If Wenger wanted him, he should have put some proper money on the table.

Failing that, deals could have been made for the likes of Dimitar Berbatov, Pato, Mirko Vucinic, Sebastian Giovinco, Javier Hernandez, Jefferson Farfan and Javier Pastore to name a few, not to mention £38million-rated Julian Draxler.

Money certainly wasn’t an issue in terms of availability; Arsenal still had a wealth of their summer warchest left over, and have today announced a turnover of £130million. Rather, it’s undoubtedly Wenger’s spendophobia which has stood in the way; he’s reluctant to bring in the wrong player for the wrong price, and most importantly be accused of panic-buying.

But if there’s one transfer window where the Frenchman could be forgiven for taking an ill-fated gamble, it was undoubtedly last month. As previously stated, this is Arsenal’s best opportunity to claim the Premier League title for nearly ten years, and despite Wenger’s many critics, none could have accused him of anything but optimism if he had sought to add to his Gunners’ cast in January.

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That’s not how Wenger sees it; he sees the five year plan, the ten year plan, the twenty year plan, and always maintains loyalty towards his own players. But for all his long-term strategising, one has to wonder where and when a Premier League title-winning Gunners side will actually emerge, especially whilst the Arsenal manager continues to reject the notion of pragmatic signings and only condones transfers that will guarantee value for money.

The way I see it is simple; if you have to overspend on a target to guarantee his signing, and he becomes part of a Premier League winning squad, then he’s automatically worth every penny.

But once again, Arsenal’s inevitable flaw remains – they’re a side that shows great promise, potential and quality, but they’re never fully complete. Arsene Wenger had the opportunity to bring the squad closer to its ultimate this January, but declined. At the end of the season, Gunners fans will be right to question whether their manager could have done more last month.

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The Vain Kingmaker who overlooked vanity at Man United

It takes a special kind of man to believe that the best person to replace themselves is them-self. But this appears to be exactly Sir Alex Ferguson’s thinking when it came to choosing his successor. In appointing David Moyes, Ferguson believed he had found the man who was most like himself, and therefore the obvious choice to continue his good work at Old Trafford. Tragically, it seems that in this great narcissistic act, Ferguson managed to overlook vanity.

One of the oft-quoted mantras from Ferguson’s time at Manchester United was ‘no one is bigger than the club’. However, it’s quite clear that he did not include himself in these rankings. He had established himself a position of unrivalled power within the Premier League club that is rarely seen in world football. Such was the extent of his influence that even in the corporate-driven world of modern football, no one questioned who would be in charge of picking his replacement once the venerable Scot decided to retire.

In his final speech at Old Trafford, the Scot laid heavy emphasis on the fan’s duty to support the next manager. Not the club, or the team, or the players, but the manager. For Ferguson, it seems that this was what football had come to be about: management. The sport itself was just a secondary aspect. It only mattered to the extent that it provided an arena in which he could have complete control of all aspects within it; the players, the media, the transfer dealings, the image of the club.

Anyone who didn’t like it was quickly discarded, regardless of value or talent. What mattered was that you subjugated to the control. Players became divided into two strict groups: ‘Manchester United players’ and ‘not Manchester United players’. It was possible to move from the first group to the second, but once you entered the second, there was no turning back.

Ferguson obviously felt that the most likely way to continue the success of Manchester United was to keep this structure in place. But in order to do so, he needed to find a man capable of handling the demands of such power. In looking for the criteria, Ferguson looked at himself. And then who better than David Moyes? A hard-working Scotsman, from a similarly humble background, with a fierce temperament and the requisite loyalty to create a second dynasty.

However, in choosing the man that most resembled himself, it seems Ferguson overlooked the one quality that he was indulging: vanity. Moyes is clearly not an egomaniac. He lacks the supreme confidence and infallibility necessary to fill the grand puppet master role that Ferguson created at Old Trafford. How can you be the main decision maker on all facets of a club as big as Manchester United if you do not have absolute conviction in your decisions?

That David Moyes is lacking in this complete belief is evident.  His reaction to his side’s lame defeat at Olympiakos was that he ‘hoped’ for another big night at Old Trafford in the return leg. Hope? Ferguson never hoped. His teams could only lose when the world had conspired against him. Some may argue that Moyes’ confidence is just low given the rough start that he has endured at Man United. However, it’s hard not to feel that Moyes was doomed for failure from the moment he revealed that Ferguson summoned him to his house to tell him he was the next Manchester United.

Anyone with the requisite ego for the Manchester United job does not get ‘told’ anything. In the vanity of trying to pick the man who was most like himself, Ferguson failed to realise that this man was different in one very important aspect: vanity itself.

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Why not qualifying for the Champions League might actually benefit Arsenal

Arsenal can’t win the Champions League. The be all and end all of qualifying for European football means nothing to those who value sporting achievement over financial gain. Arsenal are very much in Uefa’s top competition to feel the windfall of its revenue, not to challenge the best on the continent.

It’s a harsh reality that doesn’t require much digging to support its claim. Arsenal do have the resources to match the best in Europe. That’s why the club fought initially to move into the Emirates Stadium and then feed of its success, first through gate receipts and then to maximise on commercial sponsors, which we’re finally starting to see.

Arsenal far outstrip Atletico Madrid’s capabilities in building a squad. Borussia Dortmund’s wage bill of last season was smaller than QPR’s, and yet they finished as the runner-up to Bayern Munich, annihilating Real Madrid in the semi-final in Germany.

It’s the mentality that Atletico and Dortmund have that Arsenal can’t come close to. Atletico wiped the floor with AC Milan, beat Zenit and Porto in the group stages, and have now beaten Barcelona to advance to the semi-final. Arsenal don’t have that kind of mental capacity. They don’t have the organisation to hold a lead and withstand an attack that features Lionel Messi and Neymar. There is no motivation to turn over one of the biggest clubs in Europe at home.

For sporting reasons, Arsenal’s participation in the Champions League is built on the modern thinking that the competition adds prestige to a club’s name, as well as the fear that missing out for one season will result in years without top European football.

Like the struggles faced by David Moyes at Manchester United as an excuse not to change the manager at Arsenal, Liverpool’s fall out of Europe and Tottenham’s inability to build on that solitary season in the Champions League are the only two references used to tell of the importance of qualifying each and every year.

Arsenal don’t have the capacity to challenge on four fronts. They barely have the strength to do so on two. Injuries play a part, but the destruction of the squad on a year-on-year basis is the club’s own doing. Freak injury plagues occur, seen this season at Borussia Dortmund, who went the majority of the season without three of their first-choice back four. But what is happening at Arsenal can’t be dismissed or explained away as misfortune.

A year out of the Champions League for Arsenal will provide perspective. It will provide perspective to supporters who fear the unknown, just like with a change of manager. It will also provide perspective to the board and management, who seem to think that making do every season with a half complete squad will be enough; that a manager who has done it before, seemingly against the impossible, will continue to do it no matter what is going on around him at other clubs.

Investment is needed, and not just in new players. Atletico Madrid of this season and Dortmund of the past two or three years should be the models Arsenal follow. Neither of those two teams have invested or are capable of investing in the way their domestic title rivals are. For Arsenal, it’s now a matter of choice not to invest in the way Manchester City or Chelsea do.

Instead, those teams are buying into a strong idea, a footballing identity that is far more solid than what their cash reserves should allow. Diego Simeone’s players will break down walls for him; the same is true of Jurgen Klopp’s team, at least those who are have become accustomed to his coaching style.

They’re drilled to play in a way that speaks of their manager’s mindset and ideals. Atletico Madrid don’t play the prettiest football; Dortmund do and have done so. But vitally neither team can be accused of fragility. Their strengths come from in house, in terms of fitness – of which there are mountains of evidence – and the excellent and effective development of youth. At Arsenal, problems with the former has had a knock-on effect with the latter.

Like Atletico and Dortmund, the way Arsenal play and the attitudes of the players speaks of the mentality of the manager and club overall: a perceived lack of interest in bettering what’s currently available. Stagnation is rife at Arsenal, and only something as big as a drop out of Europe can change the attitude of the club.

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Arsenal may yet fall out of the top four this season, meaning a season in the Europa League is on the cards. But even that might be a distraction – and not because it should be seen as a pointless trophy.

This is not a club capable of handling four competitions with the way it is currently run. There may be comparisons to Liverpool’s season and that they’ve had the fortune of not being distracted by midweek travels around Europe, but they also have a manager who is able to adjust to what he has and bring the best out of his squad.

Arsenal may have to be forced into taking action through failure to qualify for Europe. It shouldn’t be the only option for a club of its resources, but dropping out of the Champions League can do a lot more good than bad.

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Reason to be worried at Man City this summer?

While Manchester United are spending heavily to help repair the damage caused by David Moyes’ spell in charge at the club, Manchester City have kept themselves relatively quiet in the transfer market thus far.

In Willy Caballero and Bacary Sagna, they’ve signed two low-key veterans to help fill out the squad, while Porto’s Fernando will likely be a rotation option with Fernandinho.

City’s title win last season wasn’t a given, nor were they standout favourites at any stage of the season. The Jose Mourinho factor at Chelsea had many tipping them for the title at the start of the campaign, while Liverpool’s heroics during the second half of the season had them as frontrunners to land the league title. On top of that, doubts remained about Manuel Pellegrini’s credentials, or lack thereof, in taking City to the title, having never guided a team to major honours during his time in European football.

On the pitch the team didn’t always play up to the imperious feats displayed at the Etihad. Games such as the away loss to Cardiff City highlighted the defensive frailties in the side, both in goalkeeper Joe Hart and his back four.

The team’s lack of depth at centre-back also became an issue; while Martin Demichelis had to fight off his undeserved early detractors, Vincent Kompany was far more at fault for poor defensive displays throughout the season.

The problem City had in the summer following their 2012 title win was that they didn’t build on what they had. Players like Robin van Persie were chased and the team very much needed a strong midfield presence to play alongside or in place of Yaya Toure. Instead of moves that would have taken the club forward, the signings of Javi Garcia, Jack Rodwell and Scott Sinclair were even less than sidesteps, with the club failing to mount anything resembling a serious title challenge, something made even more clear following Alex Ferguson’s departure from United after landing the 2012-13 title.

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Despite their form at home for much of last season, few can say for sure City will defend their title amid the kind of strengthening taking place at Chelsea and Manchester United – the latter of which is surely not over.

Sergio Aguero had a torrid World Cup with Argentina, one which came off the back of another frustrating domestic campaign due to injury. Stevan Jovetic, similarly, struggled to get going, while there was plenty of concern that Alvaro Negredo hit only one league goal in the entire second half of the season.

If the league season isn’t a sure bet, the club are also in need of strengthening to further themselves on the European stage. The Champions League is a competition where Pellegrini has a good track record, but the loss at home to Bayern Munich displayed the gulf in class between City and the team widely considered the best in Europe.

Yaya Toure’s agent has become a nuisance more than anything of late, a fire which the club will want extinguished as quickly as possible. But it is a problem. Toure was the team’s most valuable cog in winning the league title last season in the prolonged absence of Aguero. Losing him, either altogether physically or just mentally, will have a resounding effect on the club’s efforts to retain their title.

As good as they can be, there are still holes in this side. City have a squad full of fantastic players, but it’s difficult to think of any beyond Toure and Aguero who can drag the side over the line to major silverware.

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The makeup of the behind-the-scenes staff differs from what it was two years ago, and there’s something about City’s quiet behaviour that plays to Pellegrini’s natural demeanour. But the Premier League can be unforgiving. City didn’t win the league last season because they had the best or strongest squad. Instead, they were gifted that opportunity through the self-inflicted mistakes of others. Chelsea, in particular, have moved quickly to address those shortcomings.

There is nothing certain about the state of City’s three most important players, Kompany, Toure and Aguero. But based on recent events, it could prove costly if the club set out to rely too heavily on those three individuals to see them to the top of the mountain once again.

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